Ma-demokrasi a ka Fetisa Leeme la Rephabliki Likhethong

Na bakhethi ba Rephabliki ba na le maikutlo a koaletsoeng liqetong tsa bona tsa likhetho joalo ka ha Democrats a nahana?

Leqepheng la haufinyane, bangoli (Mercier, Celniker, & Shariff, 2020) ba hlalosa lithuto tse tharo tsa boitseko tse hlahlobang likhakanyo tsa Democrats tsa hore maRephabliki a ka ikemisetsa ho khetha likhetho tsa mekhahlelo e fapaneng ea batho. Liphuputso li hlahlobile likhopolo-taba tse 'maloa tse khahlisang mabapi le litumelo tsa Democrats mabapi le leeme la Rephabliki le hore na litumelo mabapi le khethollo e itseng li amana joang le litumelo tsa Democrats mabapi le khetho ea mokhethoa oa bona.

Ena ha se tlhahlobo e felletseng ea seo ba se fumaneng. Ho bile le likhopolo-taba tse ikhethang mabapi le likhakanyo tsa demokrasi tsa baemeli ba demokrasi ba tsoang mekhatlong e fapaneng eo ke sa buisaneng ka eona mona. Mohlala, bangoli ba lekile likhetho tse khethiloeng har'a batho ba Democrats ba tsoang mekhahlelong e itseng ea batho le maikutlo a Democrats a Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders le Pete Buttigieg. Ketsahalong ena, ke thathamisa tse ling tsa liphetho tse neng li nkhahla haholo.

Pampiri e phatlalalitsoe marang-rang pele e kenyelletsoa koranteng mme ha e so hlahlojoe ka molao ke lithaka. Joalo ka mehla, ke khothaletsa babali ho bala sengoloa sohle sa mantlha ka bobona le ho theha maikutlo a bona ka data - le ho lekola sephetho seo ke sa buisaneng ka sona mona.

Lintlha tsa Thuto 1 li ile tsa bokelloa ho tsoa sampoleng ea inthanete ea bankakarolo ba 728 (76% White, 13% Black, 7% Hispanic, 6% Asia Bochabela; 56% banna, 44% basali; lilemo tse mahareng 35.75). Barupeluoa ba ile ba botsoa ka boikemisetso ba bona ba ho khetha likhetho tsa lipolotiki tsa lihlopha tse fapaneng tsa palo ea batho le likhakanyo tsa bona tsa hore na Democrats, Republican le Maamerika kaofela ba tla araba lipotso tse tšoanang joang (ka sekhahla sa 0-100%). Ho ne ho na le Democrats tse 369, maRephabliki a 175, le ba ikemetseng ba 167 sampoleng eo.

E le motheo oa ho bapisa likhakanyo tse tsoang ho bankakarolo, bafuputsi ba sebelisitse data ho tsoa phuputsong ea naha ea Gallup e bonts'itseng likhakanyo tsa boikemisetso ba ho khetha sehlopha se itseng sa palo ea batho. Lintlha tsa naha ea Gallup li ne li bontšitse pejana hore maRiphabliki a re a ikemiselitse haholo ho khetha lihlopha tse latelang: Mak'hatholike (97%), Batsho (94%), Bajude (94%), Masepanishe (92%), baevangeli (92%) , kapa mosali (90%).

Ka karolelano, Democrats ka sampoleng e ile ea nyenyefatsa mekhahlelo e mengata. Sena se kenyelletsa karolelano ea Democrat ea hore MaRephabliki a tla bontša boikemisetso ba ho khetha mokhethoa eo e leng Mok'hatholike (70%), Mnyama (40%), Mojuda (45%), Masepanishe (37%), moevangeli (76%), kapa mosali (43%).

Lintlha tsa naha ea Gallup li ne li bontšitse pejana hore MaRephabliki a ne a sa ikemisetsa ho voutela lihlopha tse latelang: bososhiale (19%), Mamoseleme (38%), kapa ea sa lumeleng hore Molimo o teng (42%). MaDemocrat a lahlehetsoe ke letšoao ho ba babeli ho ba bararo, ho latela karolelano ea Democrat ea hore MaRephabliki a tla bontša boikemisetso ba ho khetha mokhethoa eo e leng Momoseleme (21%) kapa ea sa lumeleng hore Molimo o teng (29%).

Kahoo, Democrats e ile ea phahamisa karabelo e mpe ea maRiphabliki mabapi le mekhahlelo ea Mak'hatholike, Batsho, Bajode, Masepanishe, Baevangeli le basali, ka tlhaiso-leseling e sa nepahalang ea leeme la Rephabliki khahlano le Hispanics. Eo ke mohopolo o fosahetseng o khahlisang oa MaRephabliki ka ha baemeli ba Spain ba Marco Rubio le Ted Cruz e ne e le bona bahlohlelletsi ba ka sehloohong ho mopresidente oa 2016 GOP.

Ma-demokrasi a boetse a bonts'a ho lahla mokhethoa oa Rephabliki oa mokhethoa eo e leng Momoseleme kapa ea sa lumeleng hore Molimo o teng. Ntle le moo, Democrats e fetisitse maikutlo hore na ke maRephabliki a makae a ka ikemiselitseng ho khetha motho ea fetang lilemo tse 70 kapa bochaba. Kaha bahanyetsi ba bararo ba kaholimo-limo bakeng sa likhetho tsa Democrat le Rephabliki ba lilemo tse fetang 70 (Biden, Sanders, Trump), joalo ka bochaba, Sanders a kanna a lahleheloa haholo ke maemo a naha. Lintlha tse ling ho Thutong ea 1 li bonts'itse hore maRephabliki a ne a nepile haholo ha a bolela esale pele boikemisetso ba Democrat ba ho khetha likhetho ho feta likhakanyo tsa Democrat e ne e le tsa mokha oa bona. Sena se ka bakoa ke hore maRephabliki a tloaelane haholo le likhaohano tsa hajoale ho Democratic Party ho feta kamoo Democrats a etsang likhakanyo tsa bona.

Boitsebiso ba Thuto ea 2 bo ile ba bokelloa ka Pherekhong 2020 ho tsoa sampoleng ea inthanete ea bankakarolo ba 597. E lekotse feela Democrats mme ea eketsa lipotso mabapi le hore na motho ea nkang karolo o hokahana hakae le maRephabliki. Ho nna, ntho e khahlisang ka ho fetesisa Thutong ea 2 e ne e le hore khokahano ea khafetsa eo bankakarolo ba Democrat ba neng ba e-na le eona le MaRephabliki, likhakanyo tsa bona li ne li nepahetse haholoanyane mabapi le boikemisetso ba MaRephabliki a ho khetha motho ea khethiloeng sechabeng se itseng. Sephetho sena se bonahala se hatisa tlhoko ea ho tsoa ka likamoreng tsa rona tsa echo ebe re buisana.

Lintlha tsa Thutong ea 3 li ile tsa bokelloa ka Hlakubele 2020 ho tsoa sampoleng ea inthanete ea bankakarolo ba 930. E ne e ts'oana le Study 2, ntle le hore e ne e na le ts'ebetso ea liteko: Barupeluoa ba ka fuoa leseli la sekhahla sa palo ea 'nete ea MaAmerika a ikemiselitseng ho khetha mokhethoa oa sehlopha se itseng sa batho kapa ha ba ka ba fuoa leseli le joalo.Ho fuoa lintlha tsa sekhahla sa motheo ho lebisitse ho Democrats ho hakanya khetho e phahameng ea moemeli ea sa lumeleng hore Molimo o teng, e motšo, e motšehali, oa mosodoma, oa Sepanishe, oa Mojuda kapa oa Momoseleme, le ho khetha maemo a tlase a mokhethoa eo e leng Mok'hatholike, moevangeli, Mokreste, bochaba, kapa lilemo tse fetang 70.

Liqeto

Bangoli ba lipatlisiso tse ntlafalitsoeng ba entse liphuputso tse tharo tse bonts'ang kamoo MaDemokrate a bonang MaRephabliki le ho fana ka leseli la hore na khetho, maikutlo ho lihlopha, le maikutlo a ba bang ka lihlopha a ka ama ts'ehetso ea motho joang bakeng sa mokhethoa ea itseng. Ho loketse litsebi tsa maano a lipolotiki ho sebelisa mahlale ana a kelello ho tseba maano a bona. Habohlokoa ka ho fetisisa, e fa bafuputsi ba mantlha lithutong tsa mahlale a kelello hore na maikutlo a susumetsa maemo a leholimo a lipolotiki joang.